Polymarket Prediction: 9% Probability of China’s Attack on Taiwan, Investors Bet on Higher Profits than Bonds

If China does not invade Taiwan in 2024, bettors who bet against it will receive a return of nearly 9%. Although this may not be very impressive in the highly volatile cryptocurrency market, CoinDesk considers this trade to be far superior to investing in bonds, which have a yield slightly above 1.26% for a two-year period.